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Energy Systems & Emissions Modelling

Mission

This Unit models national and regional energy systems using system dynamics, optimization, statistical methods and machine learning to simulate energy supply and demand, sectoral GHG emissions, and decarbonization pathways. It maps energy production by source (e.g. coal, natural gas, renewables, nuclear, bioenergy, etc.) and records sectoral energy use (transport, buildings, industry, agriculture, etc.), linking these to emissions, within physical modelling, and advanced AI applications for real-time monitoring of carbon fluxes.

Climate mitigation strategies such as consumption efficiency, transitions to cleaner fuels, electrification, carbon pricing, and credits are tested through scenario simulations to assess impacts on emissions and energy uses. Among the models used are LEAP, BALMOREL, En-ROADS and MaritimeGCH. Tailor-made models incorporate regional specifics, spatiotemporal and uncertainty aspects, supporting the development of climate-neutral, efficient, and technologically feasible energy transition pathways.

Head

Dogan Keles

Professor, Technical University of Denmark

Yuen Yoong Leong

Professor, Sunway University; Director, Sustainability Studies, SDSN Asia

Team

Dr. Rasmus Bramstoft

Assistant Professor, Technical University of Denmark

Dr. Konstantinos Dellis

Post-Doctoral Researcher, "Athena" Research and Innovation Center

Stathis Devves

Researcher, PhD candidate

Theis Utoft Madsen

PhD Student, Technical University of Denmark

Dr. Conrad Felix Michel Landis

Senior Researcher, Adjunct Lecturer, Athens University of Economics and Business

Ioannis Kountouris

PhD Student, Technical University of Denmark

Dr. Georgios Papayiannis

Lecturer of Computational Mathematics at Hellenic Naval Academy, Department of Naval Sciences, Section of Mathematics

Tatiana Pliakou

M.Sc. in International and European Energy Law

Prof. Asterios Pliakos

Professor of European Law, Athens University of Economics and Business

Angelos Plataniotis

Insurance Supervisor, PhD candidate

Prof. Nikos Theodosiou

Professor, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Chair UN SDSN Black Sea

Supporting Projects

Under the auspices of the United Nations Secretary-General, the Council of Engineers for the Energy Transition (CEET) is a global, high-level body of engineers and energy systems experts to contribute to the UN Secretary-General’s goal to build a coalition to achieve net zero emissions by 2050, and to the UN generally on engineering pathways to achieve comprehensive decarbonization by mid-century. The work of the CEET is undertaken by an independent and impartial council of recognized global experts, serving in their personal capacity and responding to requests for information by the UN System.

MERMAID: Innovative Multi-purpose offshore platforms: planning, design and operation

PI, Prof. Phoebe Koundouri, Athens University of Economics and Business

Collaborations

MIT Climate Interactive

Climate Interactive creates and shares tools that drive effective and equitable climate action.

Their work: Critically, the Paris Agreement asks all countries to prepare by 2020 low-emission development strategies that chart out how emissions will fall through to 2050. SDSN has played an instrumental role in developing and popularizing the concept of long-term pathways through the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project (DDPP).  The Paris Agreement also emphasizes the central role of advances in low-emission technologies and their diffusion. The annual Zero Emissions Solutions Conference (formerly the Low-Emissions Solutions Conference) spearheaded by SDSN, the World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) and ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability was launched at COP22 in Morocco and aims to advance the pace of development for key technologies. As scientist and engineers have demonstrated, we have the technologies and means to decarbonize our economy, it’s up to nations, businesses, and cities to set on a course today for a carbon neutral tomorrow. Learn more here.

Research Papers on Energy Systems

Devves, Alamanos, Koundouri. 2024. Simulating the Greek National Plan for Decarbonization through a Water-Energy-Emissions model for the residential sector https://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/2025.Water.Energy.Emissions.pdf   

Devves Arampatzidis Alamanos Koundouri. 2024. Evaluating the Greek National Energy and Climate Plan: A Water-Energy-Emissions assessment for the industry sector https://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/2025.Water.Energy.Emissions.2510.pdf      

Devves Alamanos Koundouri. 2024. Assessing the future energy demand of Greece’s transportation sector. https://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/2025.future.energy.demand.Greece.transportation.2515.pdf  

Koundouri Feretzakis Alamanos. 2024. Integrating AI into Energy Systems: The approach of the Global Climate Hub. https://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/2025.Global.Climate.Hub.AI.pdf

Madsen Kountouris Bramstoft Koundouri Keles. 2024. Pathways for Pan-European Energy System Decarbonization: The Effect of Emission Policies on Target Alignment  https://wpa.deos.aueb.gr/docs/DeCarb.draft.pdf

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